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Current
Conditions
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Forecast for Mobile, Alabama
Tuesday,
July 07, 2009
Wednesday |
Thursday |
Friday |
Chance
of showers and thunderstorms
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Chance
of showers
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Chance
of showers
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| Rain
Chance: 50% |
Rain Chance: 40% |
Rain Chance: 30% |
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Winds:SW
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Winds:
SW |
Winds:
W |
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Detailed
Forecast
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Tonight:
Mostly
cloudy.
Lows in
the lower-70's.
Light and
variable
winds.
Wednesday:
A
60 percent
chance of
showers
and thunderstorms.
Highs in
the higher-80's,
lows in
the mid-70's.
Southwest
winds 5-10mph.
Thursday:
A
40 percent
chance of
showers.
Highs in
the higher-80's,
lows in
the lower-70's.
Southwest
winds 5-10mph.
Friday:
A
30 percent
chance of
showers.
Highs in
the lower-90's,
lows in
the mid-70's.
West winds
5-10mph.
Suturday:
Partly
cloudy.
Highs in
the lower-80's,
lows in
the mid-70's.
Northwest
winds 10-15mph.
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Forecast
Discussion
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Short-term
(Tonight and Wednesday):
Under
the influence of
stationary front, our
area will have a chance
of showers and thunderstorm
over the short-term. Warm
air advection also makes
environment more unstable.
Long-term:
Our
area will remain under
southwesterly flow through
the beginning of the thursday
and conditions should
remain moist. By Friday,
a chance of showers and
thunderstorm will dicrease.
However, there is still
a chane of shower in our
area.
Technical
discussion:
Under
the influence of upper-level
divergence, environment
will be more unstable
in our area. In addition,
we have slight warm air
advection at 850mb level
also makes environment
unstable. We have enough
moisture to precipitate
at 700mb level.
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Tropical
Weather Discussion
As
of 4:00pm, Tropical Storm Gustav was located
90 miles southeast of Guantanamo , Cuba
. Because of the continued interaction with
land, it has weakened some more and the
winds are now down to 50mph. It is moving
around 3mph to the WNW. So, it will continue
to slowly move away from the coast which
will keep the strengthening from being too
rapid in the short-term. But, more rapid
strengthening is forecast once it moves
away from the land.
The
NHC official track has Gustav just south
of the mouth of the MS River on Monday afternoon.
IF this forecast track pans out, we would
expect the storm to make landfall Monday
night into early Tuesday morning. Again,
there is still a lot of uncertainty in this
forecast, so please stay tuned to the NHC,
the local weather office, and the local
media outlets for more information through
the weekend.
Go
to the National Hurricane Center site for
more information.
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University of South Alabama - Mobile Alabama 36688-0002 / 1 (251) 460-6101
For questions or comments Contact
Us
Date last changed:
July 7, 2009 2:24 PM
http://www.southalabama.edu/usawfc/index.html
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